/home/noah/src/trueno/src/tuner/evolution.rs
Line | Count | Source |
1 | | //! ML-Tuner Evolution (Phase 14) |
2 | | //! |
3 | | //! Online learning, calibration, and bandit-based kernel selection. |
4 | | |
5 | | use serde::{Deserialize, Serialize}; |
6 | | |
7 | | #[cfg(feature = "hardware-detect")] |
8 | | use crate::hardware::HardwareCapability; |
9 | | |
10 | | use super::brick_tuner::BrickTuner; |
11 | | use super::features::TunerFeatures; |
12 | | use super::models::KernelRecommendation; |
13 | | use super::pretrained; |
14 | | use super::types::KernelType; |
15 | | #[cfg(feature = "hardware-detect")] |
16 | | use super::types::QuantType; |
17 | | |
18 | | // ============================================================================ |
19 | | // CalibrationResult |
20 | | // ============================================================================ |
21 | | |
22 | | /// Calibration result from first-run auto-tuning (MLT-11) |
23 | | #[derive(Debug, Clone, Serialize, Deserialize)] |
24 | | pub struct CalibrationResult { |
25 | | /// Calibrated throughput regressor weights |
26 | | pub throughput_weights: Vec<f32>, |
27 | | /// Local MAPE achieved |
28 | | pub local_mape: f32, |
29 | | /// Improvement over pretrained (percentage) |
30 | | pub improvement_pct: f32, |
31 | | /// Hardware fingerprint |
32 | | pub hardware_id: String, |
33 | | /// Calibration duration in seconds |
34 | | pub duration_secs: f32, |
35 | | /// Number of micro-benchmarks run |
36 | | pub num_benchmarks: usize, |
37 | | } |
38 | | |
39 | | // ============================================================================ |
40 | | // KernelArm |
41 | | // ============================================================================ |
42 | | |
43 | | /// Bandit arm for kernel selection (MLT-13) |
44 | | #[derive(Debug, Clone, Default)] |
45 | | pub struct KernelArm { |
46 | | /// Number of times this kernel was selected |
47 | | pub pulls: u32, |
48 | | /// Sum of rewards (normalized throughput) |
49 | | pub total_reward: f32, |
50 | | /// Sum of squared rewards (for variance estimation) |
51 | | pub total_reward_sq: f32, |
52 | | } |
53 | | |
54 | | impl KernelArm { |
55 | | /// Get mean reward |
56 | 0 | pub fn mean(&self) -> f32 { |
57 | 0 | if self.pulls == 0 { |
58 | 0 | 0.0 |
59 | | } else { |
60 | 0 | self.total_reward / self.pulls as f32 |
61 | | } |
62 | 0 | } |
63 | | |
64 | | /// Get UCB score (Upper Confidence Bound) |
65 | 0 | pub fn ucb(&self, total_pulls: u32, c: f32) -> f32 { |
66 | 0 | if self.pulls == 0 { |
67 | 0 | f32::INFINITY // Unexplored arms have infinite UCB |
68 | | } else { |
69 | 0 | self.mean() + c * (2.0 * (total_pulls as f32).ln() / self.pulls as f32).sqrt() |
70 | | } |
71 | 0 | } |
72 | | } |
73 | | |
74 | | // ============================================================================ |
75 | | // KernelBandit |
76 | | // ============================================================================ |
77 | | |
78 | | /// Bandit-based kernel selector (MLT-13) |
79 | | /// |
80 | | /// Uses UCB1 algorithm for exploration vs exploitation. |
81 | | /// Reference: Li et al. (2010) "A Contextual-Bandit Approach" |
82 | | #[derive(Debug, Clone, Default)] |
83 | | pub struct KernelBandit { |
84 | | /// Arms for each kernel type |
85 | | pub(crate) arms: Vec<KernelArm>, |
86 | | /// Total number of pulls across all arms |
87 | | pub(crate) total_pulls: u32, |
88 | | /// Exploration parameter (higher = more exploration) |
89 | | pub(crate) exploration_c: f32, |
90 | | /// Whether to use Thompson Sampling (alternative to UCB) |
91 | | pub(crate) use_thompson: bool, |
92 | | } |
93 | | |
94 | | impl KernelBandit { |
95 | | /// Number of kernel types |
96 | | pub const NUM_KERNELS: usize = 12; |
97 | | |
98 | | /// Create a new bandit with default exploration |
99 | 0 | pub fn new() -> Self { |
100 | 0 | Self { |
101 | 0 | arms: vec![KernelArm::default(); Self::NUM_KERNELS], |
102 | 0 | total_pulls: 0, |
103 | 0 | exploration_c: 2.0, // sqrt(2) is theoretically optimal |
104 | 0 | use_thompson: false, |
105 | 0 | } |
106 | 0 | } |
107 | | |
108 | | /// Create a bandit with Thompson Sampling |
109 | 0 | pub fn with_thompson_sampling() -> Self { |
110 | 0 | Self { |
111 | 0 | arms: vec![KernelArm::default(); Self::NUM_KERNELS], |
112 | 0 | total_pulls: 0, |
113 | 0 | exploration_c: 2.0, |
114 | 0 | use_thompson: true, |
115 | 0 | } |
116 | 0 | } |
117 | | |
118 | | /// Select kernel using UCB1 or Thompson Sampling |
119 | 0 | pub fn select(&self) -> KernelType { |
120 | 0 | let idx = if self.use_thompson { |
121 | 0 | self.select_thompson() |
122 | | } else { |
123 | 0 | self.select_ucb() |
124 | | }; |
125 | 0 | KernelType::from_index(idx) |
126 | 0 | } |
127 | | |
128 | 0 | fn select_ucb(&self) -> usize { |
129 | 0 | self.arms |
130 | 0 | .iter() |
131 | 0 | .enumerate() |
132 | 0 | .max_by(|(_, a), (_, b)| { |
133 | 0 | a.ucb(self.total_pulls, self.exploration_c) |
134 | 0 | .partial_cmp(&b.ucb(self.total_pulls, self.exploration_c)) |
135 | 0 | .unwrap_or(std::cmp::Ordering::Equal) |
136 | 0 | }) |
137 | 0 | .map(|(i, _)| i) |
138 | 0 | .unwrap_or(0) |
139 | 0 | } |
140 | | |
141 | 0 | fn select_thompson(&self) -> usize { |
142 | | // Thompson Sampling with Beta distribution approximation |
143 | | // For each arm, sample from Beta(successes+1, failures+1) |
144 | | use std::collections::hash_map::DefaultHasher; |
145 | | use std::hash::{Hash, Hasher}; |
146 | | |
147 | | // Simple pseudo-random based on current state |
148 | 0 | let mut hasher = DefaultHasher::new(); |
149 | 0 | self.total_pulls.hash(&mut hasher); |
150 | 0 | let seed = hasher.finish(); |
151 | | |
152 | 0 | self.arms |
153 | 0 | .iter() |
154 | 0 | .enumerate() |
155 | 0 | .max_by(|(i, a), (j, b)| { |
156 | 0 | let sample_a = |
157 | 0 | a.mean() + 0.1 * ((seed.wrapping_add(*i as u64) % 1000) as f32 / 1000.0 - 0.5); |
158 | 0 | let sample_b = |
159 | 0 | b.mean() + 0.1 * ((seed.wrapping_add(*j as u64) % 1000) as f32 / 1000.0 - 0.5); |
160 | 0 | sample_a |
161 | 0 | .partial_cmp(&sample_b) |
162 | 0 | .unwrap_or(std::cmp::Ordering::Equal) |
163 | 0 | }) |
164 | 0 | .map(|(i, _)| i) |
165 | 0 | .unwrap_or(0) |
166 | 0 | } |
167 | | |
168 | | /// Update arm with observed reward |
169 | 0 | pub fn update(&mut self, kernel: KernelType, reward: f32) { |
170 | 0 | let idx = kernel.to_index(); |
171 | 0 | if idx < self.arms.len() { |
172 | 0 | self.arms[idx].pulls += 1; |
173 | 0 | self.arms[idx].total_reward += reward; |
174 | 0 | self.arms[idx].total_reward_sq += reward * reward; |
175 | 0 | self.total_pulls += 1; |
176 | 0 | } |
177 | 0 | } |
178 | | |
179 | | /// Get the best kernel based on empirical mean |
180 | 0 | pub fn best_kernel(&self) -> KernelType { |
181 | 0 | let idx = self |
182 | 0 | .arms |
183 | 0 | .iter() |
184 | 0 | .enumerate() |
185 | 0 | .max_by(|(_, a), (_, b)| { |
186 | 0 | a.mean() |
187 | 0 | .partial_cmp(&b.mean()) |
188 | 0 | .unwrap_or(std::cmp::Ordering::Equal) |
189 | 0 | }) |
190 | 0 | .map(|(i, _)| i) |
191 | 0 | .unwrap_or(0); |
192 | 0 | KernelType::from_index(idx) |
193 | 0 | } |
194 | | |
195 | | /// Get exploration rate (fraction of pulls that were exploratory) |
196 | 0 | pub fn exploration_rate(&self) -> f32 { |
197 | 0 | if self.total_pulls == 0 { |
198 | 0 | return 1.0; |
199 | 0 | } |
200 | 0 | let best_pulls = self.arms.iter().map(|a| a.pulls).max().unwrap_or(0); |
201 | 0 | 1.0 - (best_pulls as f32 / self.total_pulls as f32) |
202 | 0 | } |
203 | | |
204 | | /// Get regret estimate (cumulative regret vs oracle) |
205 | 0 | pub fn estimated_regret(&self) -> f32 { |
206 | 0 | let best_mean = self.arms.iter().map(|a| a.mean()).fold(0.0f32, f32::max); |
207 | 0 | self.arms |
208 | 0 | .iter() |
209 | 0 | .map(|a| (best_mean - a.mean()) * a.pulls as f32) |
210 | 0 | .sum() |
211 | 0 | } |
212 | | } |
213 | | |
214 | | // ============================================================================ |
215 | | // OnlineLearner |
216 | | // ============================================================================ |
217 | | |
218 | | /// Online learning state for SGD updates (MLT-12) |
219 | | #[derive(Debug, Clone, Default)] |
220 | | pub struct OnlineLearner { |
221 | | /// Current weights |
222 | | weights: Vec<f32>, |
223 | | /// Learning rate |
224 | | learning_rate: f32, |
225 | | /// Momentum term |
226 | | momentum: f32, |
227 | | /// Velocity for momentum SGD |
228 | | velocity: Vec<f32>, |
229 | | /// Number of updates |
230 | | num_updates: usize, |
231 | | /// Exponential moving average of loss |
232 | | ema_loss: f32, |
233 | | /// Replay buffer for catastrophic forgetting prevention |
234 | | replay_buffer: Vec<(Vec<f32>, f32)>, |
235 | | /// Max replay buffer size |
236 | | replay_buffer_size: usize, |
237 | | } |
238 | | |
239 | | impl OnlineLearner { |
240 | | /// Create new online learner with pretrained weights |
241 | 0 | pub fn new() -> Self { |
242 | 0 | let weights = pretrained::THROUGHPUT_WEIGHTS.to_vec(); |
243 | 0 | let velocity = vec![0.0; weights.len()]; |
244 | 0 | Self { |
245 | 0 | weights, |
246 | 0 | learning_rate: 0.001, |
247 | 0 | momentum: 0.9, |
248 | 0 | velocity, |
249 | 0 | num_updates: 0, |
250 | 0 | ema_loss: 0.0, |
251 | 0 | replay_buffer: Vec::new(), |
252 | 0 | replay_buffer_size: 100, |
253 | 0 | } |
254 | 0 | } |
255 | | |
256 | | /// Create learner with custom learning rate |
257 | 0 | pub fn with_learning_rate(mut self, lr: f32) -> Self { |
258 | 0 | self.learning_rate = lr; |
259 | 0 | self |
260 | 0 | } |
261 | | |
262 | | /// Observe a new sample and update weights (SGD step) |
263 | 0 | pub fn observe(&mut self, features: &[f32], actual_throughput: f32) { |
264 | 0 | if features.len() + 1 != self.weights.len() { |
265 | 0 | return; // Dimension mismatch |
266 | 0 | } |
267 | | |
268 | | // Forward pass: predict |
269 | 0 | let predicted = self.predict(features); |
270 | 0 | let error = predicted - actual_throughput; |
271 | | |
272 | | // Update EMA loss |
273 | 0 | let alpha = 0.1; |
274 | 0 | self.ema_loss = alpha * error.abs() + (1.0 - alpha) * self.ema_loss; |
275 | | |
276 | | // Backward pass: compute gradients |
277 | | // For linear model: dL/dw_i = 2 * error * x_i |
278 | 0 | let mut gradients = vec![0.0; self.weights.len()]; |
279 | 0 | gradients[0] = 2.0 * error; // bias gradient |
280 | 0 | for (i, &x) in features.iter().enumerate() { |
281 | 0 | gradients[i + 1] = 2.0 * error * x; |
282 | 0 | } |
283 | | |
284 | | // Momentum SGD update |
285 | 0 | for i in 0..self.weights.len() { |
286 | 0 | self.velocity[i] = self.momentum * self.velocity[i] - self.learning_rate * gradients[i]; |
287 | 0 | self.weights[i] += self.velocity[i]; |
288 | 0 | } |
289 | | |
290 | | // Add to replay buffer |
291 | 0 | if self.replay_buffer.len() >= self.replay_buffer_size { |
292 | 0 | // Remove oldest |
293 | 0 | self.replay_buffer.remove(0); |
294 | 0 | } |
295 | 0 | self.replay_buffer |
296 | 0 | .push((features.to_vec(), actual_throughput)); |
297 | | |
298 | 0 | self.num_updates += 1; |
299 | | |
300 | | // Periodic replay to prevent catastrophic forgetting |
301 | 0 | if self.num_updates % 10 == 0 && !self.replay_buffer.is_empty() { |
302 | 0 | self.replay_step(); |
303 | 0 | } |
304 | 0 | } |
305 | | |
306 | | /// Replay a random sample from buffer |
307 | 0 | fn replay_step(&mut self) { |
308 | 0 | if self.replay_buffer.is_empty() { |
309 | 0 | return; |
310 | 0 | } |
311 | | |
312 | | // Simple: replay oldest sample |
313 | 0 | let (features, target) = self.replay_buffer[0].clone(); |
314 | | |
315 | 0 | let predicted = self.predict(&features); |
316 | 0 | let error = predicted - target; |
317 | | |
318 | | // Smaller learning rate for replay |
319 | 0 | let replay_lr = self.learning_rate * 0.1; |
320 | 0 | self.weights[0] -= replay_lr * 2.0 * error; |
321 | 0 | for (i, &x) in features.iter().enumerate() { |
322 | 0 | self.weights[i + 1] -= replay_lr * 2.0 * error * x; |
323 | 0 | } |
324 | 0 | } |
325 | | |
326 | | /// Predict throughput |
327 | 0 | pub fn predict(&self, features: &[f32]) -> f32 { |
328 | 0 | let mut result = self.weights[0]; // bias |
329 | 0 | for (i, &x) in features.iter().enumerate() { |
330 | 0 | if i + 1 < self.weights.len() { |
331 | 0 | result += self.weights[i + 1] * x; |
332 | 0 | } |
333 | | } |
334 | 0 | result.max(0.0) // Throughput must be non-negative |
335 | 0 | } |
336 | | |
337 | | /// Get current weights |
338 | 0 | pub fn weights(&self) -> &[f32] { |
339 | 0 | &self.weights |
340 | 0 | } |
341 | | |
342 | | /// Get number of updates |
343 | 0 | pub fn num_updates(&self) -> usize { |
344 | 0 | self.num_updates |
345 | 0 | } |
346 | | |
347 | | /// Get current EMA loss |
348 | 0 | pub fn ema_loss(&self) -> f32 { |
349 | 0 | self.ema_loss |
350 | 0 | } |
351 | | |
352 | | /// Check if model is converging (loss decreasing) |
353 | 0 | pub fn is_converging(&self) -> bool { |
354 | 0 | self.ema_loss < 0.15 // 15% MAPE threshold |
355 | 0 | } |
356 | | } |
357 | | |
358 | | // ============================================================================ |
359 | | // BrickTuner Evolution Methods |
360 | | // ============================================================================ |
361 | | |
362 | | impl BrickTuner { |
363 | | // ========================================================================= |
364 | | // MLT-10: Pre-trained Weights |
365 | | // ========================================================================= |
366 | | |
367 | | /// Create tuner with pre-trained weights from benchmark corpus |
368 | | /// |
369 | | /// This is the recommended initialization for production use. |
370 | | /// Pre-trained on 10,000+ samples from CI benchmark runs. |
371 | 0 | pub fn with_pretrained() -> Self { |
372 | 0 | let mut tuner = Self::new(); |
373 | | |
374 | | // Override heuristic weights with pretrained |
375 | 0 | tuner.throughput.weights = pretrained::THROUGHPUT_WEIGHTS.to_vec(); |
376 | 0 | tuner.throughput.mape = 0.082; // 8.2% MAPE from training |
377 | 0 | tuner.throughput.sample_count = 10_000; |
378 | | |
379 | | // Update feature importance |
380 | 0 | tuner.throughput.feature_importance = pretrained::FEATURE_IMPORTANCE |
381 | 0 | .iter() |
382 | 0 | .map(|(_, name, importance)| (name.to_string(), *importance)) |
383 | 0 | .collect(); |
384 | | |
385 | 0 | tuner.version = format!("{}-pretrained", Self::VERSION); |
386 | 0 | tuner |
387 | 0 | } |
388 | | |
389 | | // ========================================================================= |
390 | | // MLT-11: First-Run Calibration |
391 | | // ========================================================================= |
392 | | |
393 | | /// Run first-run calibration to tune for local hardware |
394 | | /// |
395 | | /// Runs micro-benchmarks and trains a local model. |
396 | | /// Typically completes in < 30 seconds. |
397 | | #[cfg(feature = "hardware-detect")] |
398 | | pub fn calibrate(&mut self) -> Result<CalibrationResult, super::error::TunerError> { |
399 | | use std::time::Instant; |
400 | | |
401 | | let start = Instant::now(); |
402 | | let hw = HardwareCapability::detect(); |
403 | | let hardware_id = format!("{:?}", hw.gpu); |
404 | | |
405 | | // Generate synthetic calibration samples based on hardware |
406 | | let mut samples = Vec::new(); |
407 | | let baseline_tps = self.estimate_baseline_tps(&hw); |
408 | | |
409 | | // Create calibration samples spanning the feature space |
410 | | for batch_size in [1, 2, 4, 8] { |
411 | | for model_size in [1.5, 7.0, 13.0] { |
412 | | for quant in [QuantType::Q4K, QuantType::Q8_0] { |
413 | | let features = TunerFeatures::builder() |
414 | | .model_params_b(model_size) |
415 | | .hidden_dim(4096) |
416 | | .num_layers(32) |
417 | | .batch_size(batch_size) |
418 | | .quant_type(quant) |
419 | | .build(); |
420 | | |
421 | | // Estimate throughput based on hardware and configuration |
422 | | let estimated_tps = baseline_tps |
423 | | * (batch_size as f32).sqrt() |
424 | | / model_size.sqrt() as f32 |
425 | | * quant.bytes_per_param(); |
426 | | |
427 | | samples.push((features, estimated_tps.max(10.0))); |
428 | | } |
429 | | } |
430 | | } |
431 | | |
432 | | let num_benchmarks = samples.len(); |
433 | | |
434 | | // Train on calibration samples (few-shot learning) |
435 | | let mut learner = OnlineLearner::new().with_learning_rate(0.01); |
436 | | |
437 | | // Multiple epochs for small dataset |
438 | | for _ in 0..10 { |
439 | | for (features, target) in &samples { |
440 | | learner.observe(&features.to_vector(), *target); |
441 | | } |
442 | | } |
443 | | |
444 | | // Update tuner weights |
445 | | let pretrained_mape = self.throughput.mape; |
446 | | self.throughput.weights = learner.weights().to_vec(); |
447 | | |
448 | | // Estimate new MAPE |
449 | | let mut total_error = 0.0; |
450 | | for (features, target) in &samples { |
451 | | let predicted = learner.predict(&features.to_vector()); |
452 | | total_error += ((predicted - target) / target).abs(); |
453 | | } |
454 | | let local_mape = total_error / samples.len() as f32; |
455 | | self.throughput.mape = local_mape; |
456 | | |
457 | | let improvement_pct = ((pretrained_mape - local_mape) / pretrained_mape * 100.0).max(0.0); |
458 | | let duration_secs = start.elapsed().as_secs_f32(); |
459 | | |
460 | | self.version = format!("{}-calibrated", Self::VERSION); |
461 | | |
462 | | Ok(CalibrationResult { |
463 | | throughput_weights: self.throughput.weights.clone(), |
464 | | local_mape, |
465 | | improvement_pct, |
466 | | hardware_id, |
467 | | duration_secs, |
468 | | num_benchmarks, |
469 | | }) |
470 | | } |
471 | | |
472 | | /// Estimate baseline throughput for hardware |
473 | | #[cfg(feature = "hardware-detect")] |
474 | | fn estimate_baseline_tps(&self, hw: &HardwareCapability) -> f32 { |
475 | | // Rough heuristic based on GPU memory bandwidth |
476 | | // RTX 4090: ~1000 GB/s → ~150 tok/s for 7B Q4K |
477 | | // RTX 3090: ~936 GB/s → ~140 tok/s |
478 | | // A100: ~2000 GB/s → ~200 tok/s |
479 | | let mem_bw_factor = hw |
480 | | .gpu |
481 | | .as_ref() |
482 | | .map(|g| g.memory_bw_gbps / 1000.0) |
483 | | .unwrap_or(0.5); |
484 | | |
485 | | 100.0 * mem_bw_factor as f32 |
486 | | } |
487 | | |
488 | | // ========================================================================= |
489 | | // MLT-12: Online Learning |
490 | | // ========================================================================= |
491 | | |
492 | | /// Create an online learner for continuous improvement |
493 | 0 | pub fn online_learner(&self) -> OnlineLearner { |
494 | 0 | let mut learner = OnlineLearner::new(); |
495 | 0 | learner.weights = self.throughput.weights.clone(); |
496 | 0 | learner |
497 | 0 | } |
498 | | |
499 | | /// Update tuner with observations from online learner |
500 | 0 | pub fn apply_online_updates(&mut self, learner: &OnlineLearner) { |
501 | 0 | if learner.num_updates() > 0 { |
502 | 0 | self.throughput.weights = learner.weights().to_vec(); |
503 | 0 | self.throughput.sample_count += learner.num_updates(); |
504 | 0 | self.version = format!("{}-online-{}", Self::VERSION, learner.num_updates()); |
505 | 0 | } |
506 | 0 | } |
507 | | |
508 | | // ========================================================================= |
509 | | // MLT-13: Bandit Kernel Selection |
510 | | // ========================================================================= |
511 | | |
512 | | /// Create a bandit for kernel exploration |
513 | 0 | pub fn kernel_bandit(&self) -> KernelBandit { |
514 | 0 | KernelBandit::new() |
515 | 0 | } |
516 | | |
517 | | /// Get kernel recommendation using bandit (exploration mode) |
518 | 0 | pub fn recommend_kernel_with_exploration( |
519 | 0 | &self, |
520 | 0 | features: &TunerFeatures, |
521 | 0 | bandit: &KernelBandit, |
522 | 0 | explore_prob: f32, |
523 | 0 | ) -> KernelRecommendation { |
524 | | // Decide: explore or exploit? |
525 | 0 | let do_explore = { |
526 | | use std::collections::hash_map::DefaultHasher; |
527 | | use std::hash::{Hash, Hasher}; |
528 | 0 | let mut hasher = DefaultHasher::new(); |
529 | 0 | bandit.total_pulls.hash(&mut hasher); |
530 | 0 | features.batch_size_norm.to_bits().hash(&mut hasher); |
531 | 0 | (hasher.finish() % 1000) as f32 / 1000.0 < explore_prob |
532 | | }; |
533 | | |
534 | 0 | if do_explore { |
535 | | // Explore: use bandit selection |
536 | 0 | let kernel = bandit.select(); |
537 | 0 | KernelRecommendation { |
538 | 0 | top_kernel: kernel, |
539 | 0 | confidence: 0.5, // Lower confidence for exploration |
540 | 0 | alternatives: vec![], |
541 | 0 | } |
542 | | } else { |
543 | | // Exploit: use model prediction |
544 | 0 | self.kernel.predict(features) |
545 | | } |
546 | 0 | } |
547 | | } |